- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 67-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 65-75 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 12-10, 4.09 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 8-8, 3.51 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -105 | +145 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -115 | -175 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 44 games (+37.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+17.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+15.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 44 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 37 games (+20.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+15.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 51 away games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 71 away games (+3.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 126 games (+35.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-72 against the Run Line (-15 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 67-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -8.3% ROI
- 74-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 63-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -12.19% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 65-75 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -7.97% ROI).
- 76-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.95 Units / -9.2% ROI
- 51-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -40.4 Units / -26.44% ROI
- 84-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.65 Units / 17.79% ROI
Braves vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,056/1,395) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 76% (3,320/4,379) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.27 (51.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.68 — third Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 28% (142 SO in 513 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .188 (12-for-64) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (90/151) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Max Fried has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (541/1,107) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (229/396) against Max Fried this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Blue Jays are 38-32 (.543) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 16-36 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 44-29 (.603) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 19-104 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Braves are just 9-18 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves are 78-139 (.359) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Braves are 144-83 (.634) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,938 strikeouts in 10,159 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (13,825 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have just 753 strikeouts in 3,813 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .258 (9,142 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .814 (2,806 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Braves hitters are slugging .454 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (856/11,481) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 282 of 4,148 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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