- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | RSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 67-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-75 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 14-9, 3.60 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 5-6, 3.69 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -105 | +145 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -175 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 45 games (+36.15 Units / 80% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+16.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+16.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 48 games (+14.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 38 games (+19.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+15.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 52 away games (+14.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 72 away games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 127 games (+36.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+5.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 69-73 against the Run Line (-16.5 Units / -8.61% ROI).
- 67-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -8.83% ROI
- 74-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 2.23% ROI
- 64-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -11.46% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-75 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -7.17% ROI).
- 77-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 51-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -41.5 Units / -26.97% ROI
- 85-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.65 Units / 18.31% ROI
Braves vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .326 (29-for-89) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (109/546) against Jose Berrios this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (314/539) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (244/1,184) against Jose Berrios this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 101 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — Ryan Borucki has the longest active streak at 105.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 69% (1,000/1,448) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Spencer Schwellenbach’s pitches (769/1,448) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 77% (219/283) of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Blue Jays are 38-32 (.543) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 16-36 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 44-29 (.603) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 14-64 (.179) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Braves are 37-82 (.311) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 34-59 (.366) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Braves are 49-87 (.360) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Braves are 19-101 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Blue Jays hitters have just 515 strikeouts in 2,603 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .349 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 243 walks in 2,603 PA’s (9%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .479 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (856/11,514) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Braves are batting .269 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Braves hitters are slugging .466 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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