- The Braves are -275 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+225) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-275) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 68-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 66-76 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-6, 4.64 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 16-3, 2.49 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -120 | +225 |
| Braves | -1.5 -120 | U 7.5 +100 | -275 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 68.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 46 games (+35.15 Units / 76% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+17.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+16.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 46 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 39 games (+18.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 53 away games (+15.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 73 away games (+3.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 128 games (+35.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 70-73 against the Run Line (-15.5 Units / -8.02% ROI).
- 68-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -8% ROI
- 75-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 2.85% ROI
- 64-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.9 Units / -12.08% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-76 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -7.71% ROI).
- 77-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.5 Units / -9.31% ROI
- 52-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -40.5 Units / -26.13% ROI
- 85-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.55 Units / 17.48% ROI
Braves vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has walked 33 of 295 batters (11%) this season — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (38/189) against Yariel Rodriguez this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (23/82) against Yariel Rodriguez’s curve and slider this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed three-ball counts to 25% of batters they faced (75/295 PA’s) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 19% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
30 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 44% (49 SO in 111 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .251 (54 Total Bases / 215 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .496 (234 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Blue Jays are 38-32 (.543) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 16-36 (.308) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 19-104 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Braves are just 9-18 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves are 53-67 (.442) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 19-101 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Braves are 24-91 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,940 strikeouts in 10,176 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .744 (13,872 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (13,872 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .537 (9,182 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .813 (2,811 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Braves hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Braves hitters are slugging .478 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 284 of 4,165 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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