- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
- Blue Jays vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Brewers TV Channel: RSN1 | TVA | BSWI
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+100) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Blue Jays are 32-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 36-30 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 3-5, 3.50 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Carlos Rodriguez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 47 games (+18.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 away games (+15.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+14.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.80 Units / 92% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 77% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+3.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 games (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 29-37 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -16.76% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -9.51% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -14.78% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 5.15% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 36-30 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 3.43% ROI).
- 39-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 14.43% ROI
- 37-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 10.4% ROI
- 27-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -18.66% ROI
Brewers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .722 (26 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — fifth Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (71/211) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (33-for-105) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .215 (35-for-163) against Yusei Kikuchi with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — fourth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are just 7-31 (.184) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Blue Jays are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Brewers are 11-16 (.407) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .189.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 30-55 (.353) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 32-15 (.681) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 100 strikeouts in 576 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 368 strikeouts in 1,981 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .198 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .437 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .550.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,959 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,090 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 238 of 3,485 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers since last season is 393.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Brewers have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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