- The Blue Jays are +100 favorites vs the Cubs
- Blue Jays vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Cubs TV Channel: ATV+
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 57-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 59-63 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-5, 3.60 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 3-10, 6.76 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 10 -115 | +100 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | U 10 -105 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 46 games (+51.10 Units / 111% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+17.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 46 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 49 games (+26.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 43 games (+22.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+21.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+19.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 51 games (+20.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 110 games (+11.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+6.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 57-64 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -10.82% ROI).
- 57-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -9.33% ROI
- 65-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 4.96% ROI
- 53-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.75 Units / -14.07% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 59-63 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -10.16% ROI).
- 59-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -3.13% ROI
- 53-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.6 Units / -13.83% ROI
- 65-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 5.07% ROI
Cubs vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Wagner (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Leo Jimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Cubs vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has walked 25 of 214 batters (12%) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has recorded 31 of his 52 strikeouts (60%) with breaking balls this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 91st Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez had a strike rate of just 60% (51/85) in his last start — 10th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 (10 GB hits out of 54 GBs) against Yariel Rodriguez this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (439/1,003) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (352/757) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (1,429/3,578) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .358 (39-for-109) against Kyle Hendricks’ elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Blue Jays are 35-28 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are just 10-57 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Blue Jays are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 15-31 (.326) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cubs are just 50-49 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are 17-10 (.630) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Cubs are just 4-46 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cubs are 21-7 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 467 strikeouts in 2,434 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 199 strikeouts in 1,029 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .206 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 713 strikeouts in 3,673 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .276 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Cubs are batting just .324 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Cubs are batting just .229 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters are slugging .568 against LHP this month (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 271 of 3,972 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (533.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 56 double plays in 867 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs have allowed 3.64 runs per game (215/59) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Cubs vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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