- The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Giants TV Channel: RSN | NSBA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Thursday, July 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 42-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-47 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-8, 4.64 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 4-5, 3.49 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -110 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -110 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 42-50 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -14.6% ROI).
- 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.85 Units / -12.68% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -5.54% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.6% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-47 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -4% ROI).
- 45-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 51-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 8.31% ROI
- 39-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -16.91% ROI
Giants vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (545/723) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 85 of Kevin Gausman’s 464 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 29% (126 SO in 432 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (945/1,244) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has thrown 910 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the 2022 season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has walked 22 of 162 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has a strike rate of just 58% (938/1,615) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 165 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Blue Jays are just 15-65 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Blue Jays are 29-25 (.537) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 8-44 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Blue Jays are just 15-88 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 20-110 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Giants are 39-20 (.661) after a home loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Giants are 166-6 (.965) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,399 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,160 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 140 strikeouts in 755 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,045 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 1,164 strikeouts in 4,769 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .223 with two outs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Giants are batting just .233 on the road since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 247 of 3,715 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 135 of 2,262 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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