Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

San Francisco Giants' Thairo Estrada rounds first after hitting a solo home run against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the sixth inning of a baseball game in Los Angeles, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
(AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)
  • The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Giants TV Channel: RSN | TVA | NSBA | ESPN+

The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 41-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-45 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-8, 4.14 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 9.52 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -225O 7.5 -115+100
Giants -1.5 +165U 7.5 -105-120

Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 games at home (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 40-50 against the Run Line (-20.3 Units / -16.68% ROI).

  • 41-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -13.2% ROI
  • 43-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -5.56% ROI
  • 44-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -3.58% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-45 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.43% ROI).

  • 44-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -6.14% ROI
  • 50-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 8.59% ROI
  • 38-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.3 Units / -17.18% ROI

Giants vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -1000
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100

Giants vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Matos (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Giants vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Giants vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110

Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .680 (34 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — second Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 30% (49 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .212 (46-for-217) against Yusei Kikuchi with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — fourth Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (217/579) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (578/1,582) against Blake Snell since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 48 of 338 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (281/861 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Blue Jays are just 8-43 (.157) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Blue Jays are 28-25 (.528) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Blue Jays are just 4-17 (.190) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Blue Jays are just 6-26 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Giants are just 41-73 (.360) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Giants are 38-20 (.655) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Giants are just 25-45 (.357) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Giants are 19-109 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,775 strikeouts in 9,263 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 2,558 strikeouts in 12,339 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,339 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Blue Jays hitters have just 404 strikeouts in 2,138 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters have drawn 1,025 walks in 10,926 PA’s (9%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .248 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

Giants hitters have an OPS of .732 (1,100 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Giants hitters have 171 extra-base hits out of 484 total hits (just 35%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 247 of 3,697 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 134 of 2,244 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.