- The Orioles are -210 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+170) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-210) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 50-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 56-51 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 8-9, 3.78 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 10-4, 2.46 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -110 | +170 |
| Orioles | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -110 | -210 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 32 games (+46.15 Units / 144% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 49 games (+35.95 Units / 73% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+19.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 13 games (+14.70 Units / 102% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 37 games (+21.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 32 away games (+9.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 98 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 92 games (+12.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 49-58 against the Run Line (-20.65 Units / -14.12% ROI).
- 50-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -10.42% ROI
- 58-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 6.12% ROI
- 46-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.05 Units / -15.33% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 56-51 against the Run Line (+12.8 Units / 10.33% ROI).
- 63-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 1.44% ROI
- 58-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.65 Units / 14.34% ROI
- 38-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.1 Units / -22.28% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (158 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 80.8
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (23/149) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (193/933) against Chris Bassitt this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (31/217) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 70% of the time (103/146) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (427/644) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (103/146) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 8-50 (.138) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Blue Jays are 32-26 (.552) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are just 7-18 (.280) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Orioles are 53-30 (.639) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 675 strikeouts in 3,511 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 161 strikeouts in 867 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .199 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,284 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Orioles are 79-44 (.642) against the run line (22.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 260 of 3,848 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.7 MPH this season (2,725 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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