- Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Clearwater, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 7-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +110 |
| Phillies | -130 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Garrett Stubbs has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -37.61% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -31.23% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -21.82% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 16.33% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Phillies are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.09 Units / 13.51% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.97 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -36.79% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.78 Units / 30.71% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ricky Tiedemann is making his MLB debut today.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (107/611) against Taijuan Walker in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (256/1,250) against Taijuan Walker in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 61% (1,722/2,837) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 30% (95/312) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays were 34-52 (.395) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 27-115 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Phillies were 69-7 (.908) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Phillies are 47-33 (.588) after a road win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters had an OBP of .334 (3,202 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .166 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Phillies hitters had an OPS of .790 (3,042 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Phillies hitters slugged .454 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Phillies batted .252 with two outs in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (4,019 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Phillies pitchers won 40% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 95 double plays in 1,088 opportunities (9%) in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brandon Marsh (Philadelphia Phillies): Knee, Out
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Alec Bohm (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, Day-To-Day
- Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
