- The Phillies are -160 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | RSN | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 16-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 20-17 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 2-5, 5.40 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 4-1, 3.38 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -105 | +140 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -115 | -165 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+17.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+15.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+13.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+16.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+9.90 Units / 247% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 59% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 129 games (+10.19 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 15-21 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -21.87% ROI).
- 16-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -16.52% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -14.99% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 5.65% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 20-17 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 8.57% ROI).
- 26-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 17.93% ROI
- 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -2.2% ROI
Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/43) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .423 (11-for-26) against Chris Bassitt’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — second Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .462 (78 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (5/65) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (47/138) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .235 (635 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .193 (116-for-602) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (252/703) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays are just 10-69 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Blue Jays are 22-17 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are 21-11 (.656) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 16-11 (.593) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 116-83 (.583) since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are just 15-21 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .240 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Blue Jays hitters have just 573 strikeouts in 2,968 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 327 strikeouts in 1,729 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have chased just 15% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .505 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters are slugging .439 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .329 against the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 0% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Phillies have won 67% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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