- The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 3-3, 3.21 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 49 games (+9.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+19.55 Units / 217% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+53.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 58 away games (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+75.95 Units / 155% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.98 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 91 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+17.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 83 of their last 145 games (+15.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.9 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 79.6 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has walked 28 of 270 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 66 of Chris Bassitt’s 354 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .332 (566 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — seventh Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .080 (25 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Shane Baz when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed an OPS of just .231 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .699 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .105 (4-for-38) against Shane Baz this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 6-68 (.081) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 132-5 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are just 20-38 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are 67-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rays are 24-1 (.960) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .349 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,377 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .538 (9,440 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .259 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .369 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,254 of 17,700 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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