- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Tigers TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSDT | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Blue Jays are 23-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 22-29 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 5-3, 3.02 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 0-5, 2.13 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | O 8 +100 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -120 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 34 games (+17.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 23-27 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -13.13% ROI).
- 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -13.53% ROI
- 21-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -20% ROI
- 29-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 10.14% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 22-29 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -13.84% ROI).
- 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 26-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 9.78% ROI
- 19-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -18.99% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .394 (13-for-33) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .176 (16-for-91) against Jose Berrios this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (50/176) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (42/234) against Jose Berrios this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (17 Total Bases / 99 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .131 (13-for-99) against Reese Olson this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OPS of just .413 (116 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Reese Olson since the 2022 season is 416.9 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 19-11 (.633) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Blue Jays are 23-12 (.657) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 11-53 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 25-143 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 23-94 (.197) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are just 21-30 (.412) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Tigers are 65-25 (.722) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .171 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Blue Jays hitters have just 78 strikeouts in 421 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have chased just 17% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 592 strikeouts in 3,065 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Tigers are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (10,480 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 133 of 1,892 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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