- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: RSN | MLBN | YES
The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 3-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-2 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 0-1, 6.24 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -105 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -115 | -165 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Estevan Florial has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Estevan Florial has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 3-4 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -29.68% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 32.84% ROI).
- 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 70.86% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -59.51% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 55.48% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Soto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Schneider | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Trevino | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2000 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Stroman | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Kikuchi | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (143 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 39% (20 SO in 52 PAs) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (311/631) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted .313 (51-for-163) against Yusei Kikuchi when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 38% (13/34) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (137/219) against Marcus Stroman since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 57% (58/101) this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (7/16) of opposing batters this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 70-109 (.389) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Blue Jays are 19-13 (.576) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays were 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 112-28 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Yankees are 47-49 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Yankees were just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .105 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .492 (176 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Blue Jays hitters have just 526 strikeouts in 2,716 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 on the road since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .212 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Yankees batted just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Yankees pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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