- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: RSN | TVA | YES
The Toronto Blue Jays (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-165) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 50-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-51 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 9-8, 4.44 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-5, 3.67 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -105 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -165 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 34 games (+44.15 Units / 130% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.20 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 39 games (+21.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 away games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+17.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+13.69 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 49-60 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -15.34% ROI).
- 50-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 59-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 5.93% ROI
- 47-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.25 Units / -15.2% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 59-51 against the Run Line (+14.1 Units / 10.66% ROI).
- 65-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.89% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.05 Units / 7.46% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.95 Units / -16.51% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (993/1,306) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (593/785) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 52% (402/776) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (254/337) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (606/1,005) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (63/347) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (1,163/1,925) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (71/254 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 8-52 (.133) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Blue Jays are 32-27 (.542) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 57-46 (.553) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Blue Jays are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 23-10 (.697) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .459.
The Yankees are 65-20 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Blue Jays hitters have just 162 strikeouts in 874 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 676 strikeouts in 3,518 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 430 strikeouts in 2,279 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 135 walks in 1,134 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .791 (3,103 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Yankees hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .457 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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