- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: RSN | TVA | YES | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+180) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 51-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-52 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 9-8, 3.94 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 11-7, 4.18 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -115 | +180 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -105 | -225 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 35 games (+43.15 Units / 123% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+29.00 Units / 290% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 40 games (+22.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+3.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 54 games (+22.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 77 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 88 games (+14.69 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 77 games (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 50-60 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -14.53% ROI).
- 51-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 6.7% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.35 Units / -15.97% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 59-52 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 9.83% ROI).
- 65-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.22% ROI
- 61-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 8.21% ROI
- 46-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.05 Units / -17.26% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .342 (25-for-73) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (78/426) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 15% (14 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — seventh Percentile.
Jose Berrios has struck out just 17% (40/241) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (58 Total Bases / 102 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 48% (72 SO in 151 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 97th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of just 17% (19 SO in 112 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — ninth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (95/284) against Carlos Rodon this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 33-27 (.550) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 8-52 (.133) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Blue Jays are 26-14 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 43-28 (.606) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 65-21 (.756) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .621.
The Yankees are 12-17 (.414) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Yankees are 34-8 (.810) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 677 strikeouts in 3,522 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .258 on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have just 431 strikeouts in 2,283 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .558.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .458 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Yankees are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 136 walks in 1,144 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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