- The Yankees are -225 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: RSN | TVA | YES
The Toronto Blue Jays (+200) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 51-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 60-52 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-4, 4.31 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-2, 5.46 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 +105 | O 9 +100 | +200 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -125 | U 9 -120 | -250 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 36 games (+46.85 Units / 130% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 36 games (+15.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+37.00 Units / 336% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+14.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+13.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 41 games (+23.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 55 games (+23.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.84 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 80% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 50-61 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -15.1% ROI).
- 51-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -11.17% ROI
- 61-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 7.46% ROI
- 47-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.45 Units / -16.73% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 60-52 against the Run Line (+14.1 Units / 10.48% ROI).
- 66-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 62-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.05 Units / 8.94% ROI
- 46-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.15 Units / -18% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -185 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 6th — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 68.0.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .307 (185 Total Bases / 603 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .202 (122-for-603) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 96th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .572 (362 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: .760 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .253 (645 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 8-53 (.131) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Blue Jays are 33-27 (.550) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are 26-14 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 15-30 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 23-10 (.697) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 66-21 (.759) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Yankees are 44-32 (.579) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 685 strikeouts in 3,543 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 171 strikeouts in 899 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .661 (899 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .794 (3,173 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Yankees hitters have drawn 136 walks in 1,144 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 248 walks in 2,312 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .216 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
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