- The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Giants TV Channel: BSSO | NSBA | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Braves are 62-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 59-62 ATS.
Braves vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 6-7, 4.56 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 6-5, 4.09 ERA
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+14.20 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Charlie Morton has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Charlie Morton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 24 games (+42.40 Units / 177% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+17.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 65 of their last 104 games (+26.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 away games (+10.04 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 games at home (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+7.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 51-67 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -13.16% ROI).
- 62-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.1 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 45-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -29 Units / -22.52% ROI
- 68-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.25 Units / 13.94% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 59-62 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -5% ROI).
- 61-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 2.38% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -10.9% ROI
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (489/1,074) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (149/420) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (2,026/4,782) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,792/3,967) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (207/884) against Kyle Harrison since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 34% of Kyle Harrison’s breaking pitches (124/362) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 46% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 37% of Kyle Harrison’s pitches (50/134) this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has an average spin rate of 1992.5 RPM on curveballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 2528.9 — fifth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Braves are 51-64 (.443) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are just 7-15 (.318) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 21-8 (.724) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Giants are 43-21 (.672) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are 180-6 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .453 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Braves are batting .303 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Braves hitters are slugging .704 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Braves hitters are slugging .459 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 786 strikeouts in 3,181 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .317 (2,037 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Giants are batting .262 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Giants are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (2,833 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 154 of 2,509 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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