- The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Giants TV Channel: BSSO | NSBA
The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Braves are 63-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 60-62 ATS.
Braves vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 0-0, 3.79 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 2-1, 3.99 ERA
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -105 | +100 |
| Giants | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -130 | -120 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+18.10 Units / 302% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 25 games (+48.50 Units / 194% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+18.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 66 of their last 105 games (+27.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 away games (+9.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 56 games at home (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 90 games (+6.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 51-68 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -13.78% ROI).
- 63-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.1 Units / -11.92% ROI
- 45-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.1 Units / -23.17% ROI
- 69-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.25 Units / 14.58% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 60-62 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -4.32% ROI).
- 61-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -4.58% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.54% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -10.07% ROI
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 33% (32/97) against Grant Holmes this season — 11th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has not walked any of the 55 batters that he has faced versus the top of the order this season — tied for best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (58/172) against Grant Holmes this season — tied for 12th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 27% — 89th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has a strike rate of 69% (375/546) this season — 13th highest among among 217 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .077 (2-for-26) against Robbie Ray with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .160 — 95th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strikeout rate of 36% (16 SO in 44 PAs) this month (2 games) — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strikeout rate of 33% (6 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 5th best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 19-96 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Braves are 221-57 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 21-10 (.677) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Giants are 21-120 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are just 45-75 (.375) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Giants are 9-49 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .685 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Braves hitters are slugging .453 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .555 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .184 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Giants hitters have 1,265 strikeouts in 5,116 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .236 since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .316 (2,044 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Braves pitchers this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have walked 60 of 1,061 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 155 of 2,519 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- TJ Hopkins (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tom Murphy (San Francisco Giants): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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