- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Phillies TV Channel: FOX
The Atlanta Braves (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Braves are 74-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 66-69 ATS.
Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 8-7, 3.50 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 12-6, 2.76 ERA
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 +100 | +135 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -160 |
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 away games (+20.20 Units / 135% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+18.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+18.70 Units / 374% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 121 games (+30.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 away games (+12.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 59 games at home (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games at home (+11.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 60 games at home (+8.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 62-73 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -8.43% ROI).
- 74-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.15 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 51-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -34.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 79-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.65 Units / 15.1% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 66-69 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -3.54% ROI).
- 79-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -0.77% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -2.53% ROI
Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Whit Merrifield (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (218/376) against Max Fried this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (341/587) against Max Fried since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .477 (199 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .284 (83 Total Bases / 292 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .413 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .200 (285 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .243 (65 Total Bases / 268 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .443 (286 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .157 (42-for-268) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 77-137 (.360) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Braves are 37-82 (.311) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 18-12 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Phillies are 69-12 (.852) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Phillies are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Phillies are 7-3 (.700) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .330 against LHP this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .388 (256 PA’s) against LHP this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .880 (256 PA’s) against LHP this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,223 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 362 of 5,022 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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