- The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Braves vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Braves / Rockies TV Channel: BSSE | ROTV
The Atlanta Braves (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Braves are 60-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 58-58 ATS.
Braves vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 0-0, 3.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tanner Gordon 0-3, 6.76 ERA
Braves vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | O 10.5 -110 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 10.5 -110 | +140 |
Braves vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+18.20 Units / 165% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+13.80 Units / 112% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+13.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 34 games (+33.80 Units / 99% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.60 Units / 85% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 100 games (+28.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 away games (+8.14 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 games at home (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-64 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -11.94% ROI).
- 60-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.8 Units / -12.24% ROI
- 42-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -31 Units / -24.89% ROI
- 67-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.6 Units / 16.3% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 58-58 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -8.74% ROI).
- 42-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -8.34% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -4.57% ROI
Rockies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Whit Merrifield (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rockies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Tanner Gordon (COL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grant Holmes has walked 2 of 59 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 9% — 92nd Percentile.
Grant Holmes has a strike rate of 70% (312/448) this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has walked 6 of 129 batters (5%) this season — tied for 12th best among among 220 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .182 (4 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 9th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .307 — 90th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Gordon has allowed an OPS of just .423 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .718 — 90th Percentile.
Tanner Gordon has walked 1 of 45 batters (2%) in his last two starts — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Tanner Gordon has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.0 innings pitched — A.J. Puk has the longest active streak at 22.1.
Tanner Gordon has allowed an OBP of just .188 (16 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in his last two starts — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .324 — 90th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are just 7-15 (.318) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Braves are 19-95 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 85-39 (.685) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 11-30 (.268) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Rockies are just 27-25 (.519) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 12-43 (.218) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Rockies are just 76-20 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .481 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (767/10,484) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .685 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Braves hitters are slugging .702 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,932 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves pitchers have walked 58 of 1,016 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (1246.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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