- The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Yankees
- Braves vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Yankees TV Channel: ATV+
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Braves are 41-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-32 ATS.
Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 9-2, 2.99 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-3, 3.06 ERA
Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+18.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+17.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+16.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+21.70 Units / 434% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 42 games (+21.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+17.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+17.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 58 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+13.04 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 43 games (+22.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 43 games (+20.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.49 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+16.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+14.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 34-38 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -5.05% ROI).
- 41-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 26-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -26.27% ROI
- 43-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 18.09% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-32 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 19.98% ROI).
- 51-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.05 Units / 12.37% ROI
- 37-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 38-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -3.07% ROI
Yankees vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +115 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (227/323) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (199/626) against Chris Sale this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (63 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 94th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .615 (16-for-26) against Carlos Rodon in late innings since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (66/200) against Carlos Rodon this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 47% (44 SO in 93 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of just 16% (13 SO in 83 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 10th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 34-64 (.347) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 9-9 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Yankees are 16-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Yankees are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .468 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .382 (1,087 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Braves hitters are slugging .458 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,803 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .764 (2,930 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Yankees hitters are slugging .724 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .555.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .785 (2,180 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,691 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,691 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 64% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Yankees vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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