- The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Yankees TV Channel: FOX
The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-130) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Braves are 42-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-33 ATS.
Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 4-3, 4.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 6-3, 3.09 ERA
Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -105 | -130 |
Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+19.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+16.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+14.15 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+20.70 Units / 345% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 43 games (+20.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+16.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+21.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.04 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+20.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 44 games (+19.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 55 games (+17.19 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 78 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 35-38 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -3.15% ROI).
- 42-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 27-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -24.66% ROI
- 43-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 16.48% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-33 against the Run Line (+16.5 Units / 17.67% ROI).
- 51-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 11.29% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 38-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -4.31% ROI
Yankees vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
Yankees vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Yankees vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Yankees vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (307/706) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 44 of 383 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 67 of 662 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (120/303) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 56% of the time (310/558) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (846/1,414) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 58% (235/405) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 51% (250/490) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 34-64 (.347) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 9-10 (.474) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Yankees are 57-18 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Yankees are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves are batting .316 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .384 (1,094 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Braves hitters are slugging .492 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Braves hitters are slugging .474 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .723 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.
Yankees hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters have drawn 84 walks in 771 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,189 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,706 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Braves pitchers this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,706 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Yankees have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Yankees vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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