- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSWI | TBS
The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Brewers are 62-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 50-61 ATS.
Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 9-3, 3.59 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 2-4, 5.76 ERA
Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -120 | +115 |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | U 9 +100 | -135 |
Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+14.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.20 Units / 265% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+15.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 42 games (+14.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+12.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 107 games (+13.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 62 of their last 111 games (+7.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 111 games (+6.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 97 games (+31.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 57-54 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI).
- 62-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 60-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 9.29% ROI
- 45-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.3 Units / -17.3% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-61 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -9.94% ROI).
- 60-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -10.21% ROI
- 39-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -34 Units / -28.04% ROI
- 67-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +23.9 Units / 19.42% ROI
Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .068 (5-for-73) against Colin Rea on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .220 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (159/822) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (200/863) against Colin Rea this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strike rate of just 62% (322/521) in two strike counts this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 15th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (86/595) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Bryce Elder has struck out just 14% (71/492) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (220/387) against Bryce Elder since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (181/311) against Bryce Elder since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Brewers are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 28-22 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Brewers are 46-117 (.282) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 60-35 (.632) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 51-62 (.451) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are just 7-15 (.318) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Braves are 19-92 (.171) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,582/16,454 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Brewers are batting just .239 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .482 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (781/10,370) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Braves are batting .270 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (1214.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,600 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
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