- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Brewers are 63-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 50-62 ATS.
Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 6-6, 3.91 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.73 ERA
Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+20.20 Units / 224% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+13.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 43 games (+13.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 108 games (+14.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 112 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 84 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 98 games (+30.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 58-54 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.64% ROI).
- 63-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 5.09% ROI
- 61-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.25 Units / 10.02% ROI
- 45-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -18.04% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 50-62 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 60-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.95 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 40-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -33 Units / -26.97% ROI
- 67-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.8 Units / 18.36% ROI
Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Braves vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has walked 7 of 22 left-handed batters (32%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .203 (86-for-423) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 31% (145 SO in 467 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (418/713) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .203 (55 Total Bases / 271 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (63 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
22 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .478 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .666 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Brewers are 43-3 (.935) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 32-72 (.308) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 46-117 (.282) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 113-81 (.582) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Braves are 34-75 (.312) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 138-79 (.636) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Braves are 45-114 (.283) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,586/16,502 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Brewers are batting .188 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .482 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .817 (2,466 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters are slugging .700 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (2436.2 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Brewers pitchers have 141 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (2,696 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,696 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
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