Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 20, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Cardinals are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | BSWI

The Milwaukee Brewers (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Brewers are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 12-8 ATS.

Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: DL Hall 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -185O 8.5 -120+115
Cardinals -1.5 +150U 8.5 +100-135

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Owen Miller has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+8.10 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Wade Miley has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Joseph Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 10-8 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 5.66% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 31.27% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 27.96% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -35.68% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 12-8 against the Run Line (+4.3 Units / 16.93% ROI).

  • 9-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -5.05% ROI
  • 6-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -32.19% ROI
  • 12-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 25.11% ROI

Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

DL Hall has allowed an OPS of 1.130 (51 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .704 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .386 (22-for-57) against DL Hall this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .531 (17-for-32) against DL Hall in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .333 — second Percentile.

DL Hall has thrown his changeup for a strike just 42% (21/50) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 60% — fourth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (21/153) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .306 (97-for-317) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fifth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .697 (23 Total Bases / 33 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (9/74) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers are 29-21 (.580) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The Brewers are 46-30 (.605) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The Brewers are 27-25 (.519) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Cardinals are just 17-26 (.395) after a road win since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The Cardinals are just 21-29 (.420) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of .817 (418 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Brewers hitters have 828 strikeouts in 3,325 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Brewers hitters have 146 extra-base hits out of 557 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Cardinals are batting just .176 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .367 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .556.

The Cardinals are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .231 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 104 of 1,607 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
  • Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.