- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Brewers are 73-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 62-64 ATS.
Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 8-7, 4.02 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-10, 5.43 ERA
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 +100 | -120 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -120 | +100 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+16.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+15.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+15.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games at home (+27.50 Units / 162% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 122 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 126 games (+13.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 126 games (+9.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 98 games (+6.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games at home (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 66-60 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 0.92% ROI).
- 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 8.52% ROI
- 68-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.75 Units / 9.27% ROI
- 51-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.05 Units / -17.22% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 62-64 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -4.28% ROI).
- 62-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -9.03% ROI
- 60-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 61-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -3.85% ROI
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (150 SO in 494 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (1,468/2,391) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (463/786) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .212 (95-for-448) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 96th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .315 (68-for-216) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .569 (123 Total Bases / 216 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 15% (81 SO in 522 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (78 Total Bases / 149 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — second Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 44-3 (.936) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Brewers are 114-83 (.579) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Brewers are 21-14 (.600) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 35-18 (.660) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 56-62 (.475) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cardinals are 37-27 (.578) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have drawn 128 walks in 1,208 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,631/17,013 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Brewers are batting just .239 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .179 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals are just 42-66 (.378) against the run line (-30.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .689 (3,012 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,452 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 6 of 161 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (1120.0 IP) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
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