- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Brewers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI | ESPN+
The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Brewers are 57-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 49-52 ATS.
Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 6-3, 3.16 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-3, 3.29 ERA
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -115 | -120 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -105 | +100 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 95 games (+12.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 99 games (+11.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 99 games (+10.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 99 games (+6.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 52-47 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.84% ROI).
- 57-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 8.55% ROI
- 54-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.75 Units / 9.95% ROI
- 40-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -17.85% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 49-52 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -10.33% ROI).
- 48-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 43-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -15.64% ROI
- 55-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 7.2% ROI
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has recorded 8 of his 23 strikeouts (35%) vs left-handed batters with his changeup this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 89th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has an ERA of 2.56 (38.2 IP) on the road this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 4.11 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .208 (26-for-125) against Tobias Myers’ fastball this season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 88th Percentile.
66% of Tobias Myers’ fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .470 (234 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: .729 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .451 (203 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (264/667) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .230 (200 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 28-21 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Brewers are 31-67 (.316) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 58-55 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Brewers are 45-112 (.287) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 3-38 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cubs are just 2-38 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 115-9 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cubs are just 7-15 (.318) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have 1,004 strikeouts in 4,183 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .312 on the road this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cubs are batting just .233 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 150 double plays in 1,887 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs are batting .273 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.97 runs per game (532/134) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10 of 75 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 735 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (6,542 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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