- The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+165) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-200) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 52-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 43-45 ATS.
Brewers vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-6, 5.07 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 8-5, 3.23 ERA
Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -110 | +165 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -110 | -200 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 88 games (+13.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 88 games (+9.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 84 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 60 games (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+5.59 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 46-42 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.08% ROI).
- 52-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 12.25% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -13.97% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 43-45 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -7.66% ROI).
- 53-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.39% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -7.68% ROI
Dodgers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Miguel Rojas (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Dodgers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (MIL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (30/110) against Aaron Civale this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Aaron Civale since the 2022 season is 383.2 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 398.3
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (68/205) against Aaron Civale on pitches in the strike zone this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (79/263) against Aaron Civale this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (65 SO in 107 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 60% (136 SO in 225 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .184 (152 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (95/267) against Tyler Glasnow this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 31-62 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 35-15 (.700) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 19-12 (.613) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .945.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 51-20 (.718) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 99-47 (.678) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Dodgers are 135-24 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .236 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 106 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 27% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Brewers hitters have 981 strikeouts in 4,065 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (11,502 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (2,749 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Dodgers hitters have 402 extra-base hits out of 1,006 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (3687.2 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (1146.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Brewers vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
