- The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Brewers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Orioles TV Channel: ATV+
The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Brewers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-5 ATS.
Brewers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 1-0, 3.09 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells 0-1, 4.77 ERA
Brewers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.85 Units / 99% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 16.97% ROI).
- 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 42.68% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 22.92% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -30.08% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-5 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 26.54% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 13.99% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 11.07% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -19.84% ROI
Orioles vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells (BAL) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 50% (14 SO in 28 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best among in NL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Freddy Peralta this season — tied for 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Freddy Peralta this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (11/30) against Freddy Peralta this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells allowed a BABIP of .170 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (17-for-94) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .344 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .211 (39-for-185) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has a strike rate of 74% (76/102) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 26-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Brewers are 36-87 (.293) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Brewers were 19-39 (.328) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Orioles are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Orioles were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 24-26 (.480) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Orioles were 25-21 (.543) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have chased 30% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters are slugging .611 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Brewers hitters have 139 extra-base hits out of 530 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .158 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Orioles hitters are slugging .397 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .225.
Orioles hitters have drawn 3 walks in 12 PA’s (25%) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Orioles are 39-17 (.696) against the run line (30.6% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have 223 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 30 of 410 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 26 of 438 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 203 of 3,006 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 111 of 1,569 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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