- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Brewers are 9-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 7-6 ATS.
Brewers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 2-0, 1.64 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 2-0, 1.93 ERA
Brewers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Brewers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Wade Miley has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oliver Dunn has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+5.25 Units / 131% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 4 games at home (+5.25 Units / 131% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 152 games (+23.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.72 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+5.39 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 23.71% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 46.13% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 28.63% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -35.82% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 7-6 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 13.06% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 7.71% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 17.06% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -26.16% ROI
Orioles vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 47 PAs) this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of just .228 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of just .447 (92 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has not walked any of the 27 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (159/268) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 100% of the time (6/6) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
88 of Corbin Burnes’ 200 strikeouts (44%) came on cutters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .200 (141-for-704) against Corbin Burnes in the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Brewers were 24-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 23-42 (.354) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Orioles are 29-21 (.580) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Orioles are 49-49 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Orioles were 63-38 (.624) after a win in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have chased 31% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters are slugging .667 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .843 (340 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 40-17 (.702) against the run line (32.4% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .235 (51 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Orioles batted .252 with two outs in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 33 of 485 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1559.0 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 32 of 530 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 948 of 12,686 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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