- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Rockies
- Brewers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Brewers / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+130) on Monday, July 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Brewers are 50-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 39-44 ATS.
Brewers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 5-3, 3.90 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-5, 4.69 ERA
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 -105 | O 11.5 -115 | -155 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -115 | U 11.5 -105 | +130 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 84 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 80 games (+10.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 84 games (+8.34 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 47 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 47 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 45-39 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.9% ROI).
- 50-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 13.73% ROI
- 45-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 8.93% ROI
- 34-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -16.68% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 39-44 against the Run Line (-14.75 Units / -14.34% ROI).
- 28-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -11.2% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -8.08% ROI
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Blake Perkins (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryse Wilson (MIL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Austin Gomber (COL) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson has allowed 13 home runs with two-strikes since last season — most among NL Relievers — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (49/277) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 20% (79/389) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .245 (355 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .718 (28 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — first Percentile.
9 of Austin Gomber’s 31 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .623 (315 Total Bases / 506 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (41/240) against Austin Gomber this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 31-60 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 56-31 (.644) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Brewers are 27-20 (.574) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Brewers are 45-105 (.300) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 61-29 (.678) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 74-12 (.860) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 23-6 (.793) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Rockies are just 22-22 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .293 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,440 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have 49 strikeouts in 133 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.75 (1082.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers have 104 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.99 (1098.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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