- The Brewers are -155 favorites vs the Rockies
- Brewers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Brewers / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Brewers are 51-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 41-44 ATS.
Brewers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 7-2, 3.61 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 2-11, 5.87 ERA
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 -110 | O 11.5 -110 | -160 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -110 | U 11.5 -110 | +135 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 80% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 86 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 82 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.99 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 58 games (+6.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 49 games (+14.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 49 games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 45-41 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 1.1% ROI).
- 51-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 12.93% ROI
- 46-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 8.61% ROI
- 35-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.6 Units / -16.4% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 41-44 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -12.07% ROI).
- 29-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -10.74% ROI
- 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.08% ROI
- 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -7.99% ROI
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Dakota Hudson (COL) | 3.5 +140 | 3.5 -190 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (113/619) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 15% (21 SO in 144 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (68 Total Bases / 130 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — fifth Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .077 (4 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (119/647) against Dakota Hudson since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (44-for-88) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .345 — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has allowed an OBP of .424 (205 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .588 (30-for-51) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 31-62 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 35-15 (.700) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 12-23 (.343) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 74-13 (.851) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 46-33 (.582) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 63-30 (.677) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 63-39 (.618) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 217 extra-base hits out of 797 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Brewers are batting just .236 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,494/15,508 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.8 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.95 runs per game (502/127) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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