- The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Rockies
- Brewers vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Brewers / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+120) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Brewers are 52-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 41-45 ATS.
Brewers vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 5-2, 3.28 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 6-6, 3.81 ERA
Brewers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +105 | O 10.5 +100 | -145 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -125 | U 10.5 -120 | +120 |
Brewers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 87 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 87 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 83 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 59 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+6.94 Units / 6% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 56 games (+5.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (+4.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 46-41 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.95% ROI).
- 52-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 13.64% ROI
- 46-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 7.36% ROI
- 36-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -15.17% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 41-45 against the Run Line (-13.75 Units / -12.9% ROI).
- 29-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -11.79% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -6.83% ROI
Rockies vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Garrett Mitchell (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andruw Monasterio (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (3/15) against Tobias Myers — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Tobias Myers has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (35/47) over the last 14 days — 3rd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 95th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (35/47) — tied for 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has a strike rate of 71% (114/160) — tied for 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — 92nd Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed a slugging percentage of .698 (30 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 65% of the time (525/807) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed three-ball counts to 30% of batters they faced (119/396 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 65% of the time (525/807) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Brewers are 31-62 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 64-41 (.610) after a loss since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Brewers are 19-12 (.613) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 27-20 (.574) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rockies are just 63-30 (.677) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 67-20 (.770) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 23-7 (.767) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Rockies are just 46-33 (.582) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 217 extra-base hits out of 799 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Brewers hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 105 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 410.8 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (1109.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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