The St. Louis Cardinals (-145) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Houston Astros (+120) on Sunday, March 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 10-9 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -145 |
| Astros | +120 |
Cardinals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jon Singleton has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+8.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -51.32% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -19.21% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -3.63% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Astros are 10-9 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.93% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / -8.68% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / -1.86% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -9.38% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 59% (480/815) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted .270 (198-for-732) against Kyle Gibson in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents batted .205 (71-for-346) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
64% of Kyle Gibson’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 95th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Hunter Brown changeup was June 25th, 2023. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his changeup. — tied with Devin Williams for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Hunter Brown has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.1 MPH on the 271 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.4.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .426 (20 GB hits out of 47 GBs) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (144/247) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Astros are 90-23 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 61-39 (.610) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Astros are 38-20 (.655) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Astros are 15-11 (.577) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Cardinals hitters had a groundball batting average of just .236 with runners on base in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Games involving the Cardinals went UNDER in 58% of their games (13.2% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
The Astros have won 90% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Astros are 21-5 (.808) against the run line (28.4% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Back, Out
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, Out
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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