Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 13

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Toronto Blue Jays' Davis Schneider during a baseball game against the Oakland Athletics in Oakland, Calif., Tuesday, Sept. 5, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 13, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cardinals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Cardinals are 74-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 73-74 ATS.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-9, 3.39 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 12-11, 4.11 ERA

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -200O 8 -105+115
Blue Jays -1.5 +165U 8 -115-135

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 50 games (+29.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+17.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 50 games (+31.15 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+17.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+4.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.05 Units / 9% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 73-73 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -3.96% ROI).

  • 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4.41% ROI
  • 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -7.3% ROI
  • 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -1.97% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 73-74 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -7.05% ROI).

  • 69-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 2.12% ROI
  • 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -18 Units / -11.18% ROI

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +825 0.5 -1400
Addison Barger (TOR) 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Will Wagner (TOR) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Ernie Clement (TOR) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Erick Fedde (STL) 3.5 -150 3.5 +115

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (479/964) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (467/813) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 52% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (425/813) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 20% (32 SO in 162 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .315 (29-for-92) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .207 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (663/1,172) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has walked 12 of 261 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (316/547) when behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Cardinals are 39-18 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 43-27 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Blue Jays are just 14-68 (.171) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Blue Jays are just 8-27 (.229) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,597 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .684 (3,157 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,597 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.376) against the run line (-30.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.

Blue Jays hitters have just 782 strikeouts in 3,930 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays have a winning percentage of just 22% this month (9 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 536 strikeouts in 2,691 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .356 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.