- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSMW | DBTV | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-5 ATS.
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 1-1, 6.24 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 0-2, 8.23 ERA
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -105 | -115 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -115 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 9-4 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 36.2% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -24.38% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 19.38% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 16.83% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -9.71% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 2 double plays in 5 opportunities (40%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 59% (480/815) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted .205 (71-for-346) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson allowed a slugging percentage of .327 (113 Total Bases / 346 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — sixth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has an ERA of 8.49 (58.1 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (157 Total Bases / 248 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .410 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals are just 6-76 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 139-14 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 76-8 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Diamondbacks are just 123-23 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have drawn 26 walks in 416 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .538 (6,755 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 293 walks in 3,034 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cardinals have a winning percentage of just 43% at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 37 strikeouts in 256 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .357 (256 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 38 of 530 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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