The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the Miami Marlins (-145) on Friday, March 22, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Jupiter, FL.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 6-9 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +120 |
| Marlins | -145 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 4-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -51.32% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -19.21% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -3.63% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Marlins are 6-9 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -17.97% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -35.28% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -49.09% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 43.13% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 70% (106/151) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 66 of 434 batters (15%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (63/82) against Edward Cabrera’s changeup in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera walked 29 of 166 batters (17%) versus the top of the order in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 69-90 (.434) in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 17-74 (.187) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Marlins are just 103-24 (.811) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Marlins are 13-142 (.084) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins are 93-13 (.877) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals have hit 1,736 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had 149 extra-base hits out of 547 total hits (just 27%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Calvin Faucher (Miami Marlins): Biceps, Out
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Finger, Day-To-Day
- Jazz Chisholm (Miami Marlins): Toe, Out
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, Out
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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