The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit HoHoKam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (-115) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 11-6 ATS.
Cubs vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -105 |
| Athletics | -115 |
Cubs vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alexander Canario has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Miguel Amaya has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Wade has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 12-7 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 22.16% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.61 Units / 11.12% ROI
- 6-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.41 Units / -40.09% ROI
- 13-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.37 Units / 30.6% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 11-6 against the Run Line (+5.62 Units / 27.08% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.82 Units / 15.12% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.83 Units / -15.11% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 7.5% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adbert Alzolay walked 13 of 253 batters (5%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Adbert Alzolay walked 4 of 102 left-handed batters (4%) in the 2023 season — 5th best among in NL; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.
Adbert Alzolay’s K:BB ratio was 7.5 (30/4) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd best among in NL; League Avg: 2.4 — 97th Percentile.
Adbert Alzolay had a strike rate of 69% (278/402) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 4th highest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 37% (30/82) versus Paul Blackburn on sliders in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Hitters swung at 53% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (296/561) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (17/81) against Paul Blackburn on sliders in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .325 (68-for-209) against Paul Blackburn on the road in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .256 — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Cubs were 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 32-70 (.314) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Athletics were just 15-39 (.278) after a home loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .167 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Cubs batted .273 against division opponents in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Athletics hitters had an OPS of just .673 (1,648 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after scoring a run on offense since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Athletics vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
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