- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Cubs / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MARQ | DBTV | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 10-7 ATS.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-2, 12.42 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 0-1, 5.66 ERA
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 10 +100 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 10 -120 | -125 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jordan Wicks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 12 away games (+3.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.40 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 11-5 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 17.06% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -3.43% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 10-7 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 14.91% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -13.17% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -10.97% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.73% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Henry (ARI) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 64% of the time (413/641) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .774 (48 Total Bases / 62 ABs) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .903 (28 Total Bases / 31 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 1.229 (66 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .717 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tommy Henry has a strike rate of just 63% (251/400) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (18/52) versus Tommy Henry on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Tommy Henry had a strike rate of just 62% (218/352) when he’s behind in the count in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 69% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (23/141) against Tommy Henry on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are 20-18 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Cubs are 36-17 (.679) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Cubs are 52-29 (.642) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are just 141-15 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are 20-129 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Diamondbacks are just 125-23 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks were 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .860 (235 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .330 (5,023 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .302 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .692 (3,652 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .509 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 19 of 143 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have 20 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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