- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: MARQ | BSFL | ESPN+
The Chicago Cubs (-130) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 63-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-69 ATS.
Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 3-10, 6.47 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 3-3, 5.63 ERA
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -120 | -130 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 +100 | +105 |
Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 46 games (+29.45 Units / 64% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+25.45 Units / 67% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 39 of his last 48 games (+24.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+18.30 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 45 games (+46.10 Units / 102% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+21.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+21.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+21.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+18.10 Units / 29% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 116 games (+11.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 66 games at home (+27.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 35 games (+18.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+10.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 61-67 against the Run Line (-18.55 Units / -10.58% ROI).
- 63-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -2.37% ROI
- 56-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.95 Units / -13.43% ROI
- 68-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 4.62% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-69 against the Run Line (-30.36 Units / -18.34% ROI).
- 46-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -14.64% ROI
- 70-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.45 Units / 8.88% ROI
- 53-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.85 Units / -16.42% ROI
Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Meyer (MIA) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.2 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (374 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 87.3
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH in the 2023 season (449 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Meyer has allowed an OPS of 1.146 (48 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .458 — first Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (33 Total Bases / 44 ABs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .341 (15-for-44) against Max Meyer with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .162 — first Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (33 Total Bases / 44 ABs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 8-111 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cubs are just 4-48 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Cubs are just 53-49 (.520) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins are just 15-18 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .758.
The Marlins are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Marlins are just 14-27 (.341) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Marlins are just 27-17 (.614) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .286 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters are slugging .446 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 62 double plays in 823 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .943 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,514 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,219 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
The Marlins have allowed 5.76 runs per game (380/66) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.06 (615.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Peyton Burdick (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dane Myers (Miami Marlins): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Sixto Sanchez (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ryan Weathers (Miami Marlins): Finger, 60-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jesus Luzardo (Miami Marlins): Back, 60-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
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