- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: MARQ | BSFL
The Chicago Cubs (-185) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+150) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 64-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-70 ATS.
Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 9-3, 3.14 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 2-1, 2.46 ERA
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -105 | -185 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -110 | U 8 -115 | +150 |
Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 47 games (+34.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 40 of his last 49 games (+25.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+24.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+18.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.05 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 46 games (+45.10 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+20.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+20.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+19.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 67 games at home (+28.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 36 games (+19.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 62-67 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -9.75% ROI).
- 64-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -1.71% ROI
- 57-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -12.63% ROI
- 68-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 3.77% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-70 against the Run Line (-31.91 Units / -19.1% ROI).
- 46-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -15.28% ROI
- 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.45 Units / 9.52% ROI
- 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -24 Units / -17.1% ROI
Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Valente Bellozo (MIA) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (719/1,393) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 20 of 541 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has a strike rate of 69% (1,391/2,019) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .174 (34-for-195) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (13/67) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/41) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (13/67) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/41) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Cubs are just 13-180 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 23-7 (.767) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.
The Cubs are just 4-48 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins are just 25-13 (.658) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Marlins are just 15-18 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .756.
The Marlins are just 3-33 (.083) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Marlins are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,337 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 157 double plays in 2,030 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs are batting .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 62 double plays in 827 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .609 (1,507 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Marlins hitters have drawn 884 walks in 12,486 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 58 double plays in 908 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 101 of 1,143 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
The Marlins have allowed 5.76 runs per game (386/67) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.
Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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