- The Reds are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | BSOH | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-115) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 31-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 37-27 ATS.
Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-2, 3.33 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 4-5, 3.41 ERA
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -110 | -105 |
| Reds | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -110 | -115 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+12.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 33 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.10 Units / 185% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 away games (+0.90 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 31 away games (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 31-33 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -10.99% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.34% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -7.62% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -1.14% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 37-27 against the Run Line (+8.05 Units / 9.52% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.99% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -3.07% ROI
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| David Bote (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has struck out 46% (13/28) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (94/184) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (38/98) against Ben Brown with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 66% (64/97) against Ben Brown on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (16/93) against Andrew Abbott on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (36/175) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (71/260) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 3-10 (.231) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Cubs are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .628.
The Cubs are just 5-168 (.029) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 2-25 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 24-28 (.462) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 47-19 (.712) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Reds are just 60-43 (.583) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .203 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.00 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 129 double plays in 1,650 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .133 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,476 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Reds are batting just .168 on breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Reds are 32-15 (.681) against the run line (22.8% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 53 of 569 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Cubs have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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