- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Giants
- Diamondbacks vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+105) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 10-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 8-13 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 52% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 11-10 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.72% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -12.15% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -9.98% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.1% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 8-13 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -23.89% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -22.18% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 10.09% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -18.76% ROI
Giants vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Giants vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (38/89) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (48/117) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .601 (342 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has located his breaking pitches down 93% of the time (125/134) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .839 (26 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Kyle Harrison’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 55% of the time (55/100) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed an OPS of 1.324 (33 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .624 — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Diamondbacks are just 125-23 (.845) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 59-39 (.602) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 78-9 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Diamondbacks are just 35-16 (.686) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Giants are just 20-34 (.370) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Giants are 44-7 (.863) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Giants are 25-14 (.641) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Giants are 32-35 (.478) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .429 (91 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 60 walks in 512 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 93 strikeouts in 512 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Giants hitters are slugging just .398 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .476 (3,712 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Giants pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 459 of 6,807 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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