- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Sunday, April 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 12-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 13-14 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-1, 4.97 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 2-0, 1.89 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 7 -115 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -105 | -135 |
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.50 Units / 488% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-15 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -9.19% ROI).
- 12-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -18.99% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -15.11% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 6.23% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 13-14 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -4.92% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.82% ROI
- 6-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -52.26% ROI
- 19-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.3 Units / 43.16% ROI
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (94/122) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (54/122) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a strike rate of 72% (165/230) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (19/54) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 46% of the time (42/91) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (26/70) against Logan Gilbert this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .242 (331 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .194 (67 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 95th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Diamondbacks are just 128-23 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 144-15 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 60-39 (.606) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mariners are 54-39 (.581) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Mariners are 146-12 (.924) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mariners are 88-13 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Mariners are 46-6 (.885) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .871 (394 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 64 strikeouts in 394 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .497 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .374 (394 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 478 strikeouts in 1,854 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .176 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Mariners are batting just .227 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 485 of 6,974 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 1.35 (107.0 IP) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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