- The Padres are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Padres TV Channel: DBTV | PDTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on Thursday, June 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 29-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-32 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-4, 5.65 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-3, 5.74 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -120 | +105 |
| Padres | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 +100 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+16.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+16.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+13.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 51 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+4.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 away games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 27-35 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -14.63% ROI).
- 29-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -8.84% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -10.74% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 2.52% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 33-32 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- 32-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -10.54% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -4.72% ROI
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has an ERA of 8.22 (15.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 4.01 — fourth Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.040 (26 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .571 — 0 Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to May 3rd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Slade Cecconi has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 21 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 11% — third Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .336 (38-for-113) against Randy Vasquez this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (61 Total Bases / 113 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .392 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Randy Vasquez’s elevated fastball this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .214 — third Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .615 (16 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 139-24 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 157-15 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 94-9 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Padres are just 1-96 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Padres are 26-27 (.491) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Padres are 85-16 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .769 (777 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres hitters have just 70 strikeouts in 479 PA’s (15%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .231 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Padres are batting .258 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (5,452 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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