- The Padres are -125 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Padres TV Channel: DBTV | PDTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 30-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-33 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 2-4, 4.28 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-4, 3.84 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +105 | +105 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -125 | -125 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+15.10 Units / 168% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+13.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+17.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Higashioka has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 52 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 away games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 28-35 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -13.06% ROI).
- 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -7.42% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.4 Units / -12.02% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 3.93% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 33-33 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 2.84% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -11.7% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.95 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -3.28% ROI
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt allowed a batting average of just .181 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 89th Percentile and .282 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (218/298) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 7 of 153 left-handed batters (5%) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .168 (155 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 93rd Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of .889 (32 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .246 (42-for-171) against Michael King’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 15th highest among among 113 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .204 — 13th Percentile.
Michael King has walked 12 of 116 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
61% of Michael King’s fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 90th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 140-24 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are just 158-15 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 95-9 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are just 1-97 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Padres are 85-16 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Padres are just 19-36 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 485 strikeouts in 2,479 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 67 strikeouts in 478 PA’s (14%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters have just 135 strikeouts in 755 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .638 (755 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 10% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (5,483 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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