- The Padres are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Padres TV Channel: DBTV | PDTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 30-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 35-33 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Scott McGough 1-3, 6.12 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Adam Mazur 0-0, 1.50 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Padres | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+17.50 Units / 103% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+11.40 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+24.50 Units / 612% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 41 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 away games (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 34 away games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 28-37 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -16.62% ROI).
- 30-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 30-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -8.87% ROI
- 33-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.78% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 35-33 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 6.39% ROI).
- 34-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -9.04% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.62% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -6.03% ROI
Padres vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Mazur (SD) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Scott McGough has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (26 Total Bases / 44 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .350 — first Percentile.
Scott McGough has allowed a slugging percentage of .771 (37 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .328 — 0 Percentile.
Scott McGough has allowed an OPS of .886 (211 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — second Percentile.
Scott McGough has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (101 Total Bases / 187 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — fourth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Mazur has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are just 5-13 (.278) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Diamondbacks are just 140-24 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are just 158-15 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Padres are just 1-97 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are 9-4 (.692) after a road loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Padres are 87-16 (.845) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .335 (789 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Padres are batting .277 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Padres hitters have just 64 strikeouts in 500 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 136 strikeouts in 770 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (5,532 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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