- The Dodgers are -110 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: FS1
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Wednesday, October 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-7, 5.60 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 12-7, 3.94 ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -110 | -115 |
| Mets | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -110 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+26.50 Units / 265% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+29.00 Units / 483% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+13.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+12.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 87 games (+25.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 44 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 59 games (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 112 games (+24.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 113 games (+19.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler allowed an OPS of .890 (177 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .720 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted .289 (89-for-308) against Walker Buehler in the 2024 season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .244 — seventh Percentile.
Walker Buehler allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (48 Total Bases / 64 ABs) when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .608 — 11th Percentile.
Walker Buehler allowed an OPS of .862 (344 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — fifth Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Severino allowed a slugging percentage of just .290 (74 Total Bases / 255 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 94th Percentile.
Luis Severino allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (55 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted .273 (69-for-253) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 13th Percentile.
Luis Severino located 40% of his pitches inside (800/2,025) in non-two strike counts in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 24-138 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Dodgers are 305-144 (.679) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 134-30 (.817) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Mets are just 15-68 (.181) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are just 129-20 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Mets are 17-192 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.033 (183 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days of the regular season — best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have 319 extra-base hits out of 802 total hits (40%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (9,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters had an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Mets won only 40% of their road games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,168 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,362 of 17,930 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 261 of 2,857 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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