Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 11:03 AM
  • The Dodgers are -210 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Dodgers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Dodgers / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | SNLA

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-210) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+170) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Dodgers are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 13-8 ATS.

Dodgers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 2-0, 2.81 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 0-3, 8.19 ERA

Dodgers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -135O 10 -120-210
Nationals +1.5 +110U 10 +100+170

Dodgers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.60 Units / 70% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 72 away games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 10-14 against the Run Line (-5.94 Units / -21.44% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -19.62% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.32 Units / 23.82% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -31.29% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 13-8 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 13.64% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 28.1% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -22.05% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 13.3% ROI

Nationals vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Joey Gallo (WAS) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550

Nationals vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Enrique Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Joey Meneses (WAS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jacob Young (WAS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Lane Thomas (WAS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Nationals vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +105 0.5 -135
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150

Nationals vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

James Paxton has walked 14 of 68 batters (21%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 13 of 58 right-handed batters (22%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (21/67) against James Paxton when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (26/89) against James Paxton on inside fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .379 (36-for-95) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .315 (94-for-298) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .295 (154-for-522) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — third Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Dodgers are 200-32 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 105-64 (.621) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Dodgers are 85-39 (.685) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Nationals are just 42-175 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Nationals are just 64-107 (.374) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Nationals are just 22-39 (.361) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Nationals are just 31-48 (.392) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

team hitters – away

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Nationals are batting just .084 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.

The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) against the run line (-49.2% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Nationals hitters have just 922 strikeouts in 4,745 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (1214.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .355 (3,029 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Nationals vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
  • Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
  • Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.