- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on Tuesday, July 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 63-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 56-52 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 8-6, 3.47 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 6-9, 3.65 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +120 | O 7.5 -115 | -140 |
| Padres | +1.5 -145 | U 7.5 -105 | +120 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+21.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 32 games (+19.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+14.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+13.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+30.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 away games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+4.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 76 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 53-54 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- 63-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.8 Units / -6.19% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.68% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.26% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 56-52 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 4.07% ROI).
- 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -2.06% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -11% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| James Outman (LAD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jason Heyward (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Matt Waldron (SD) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 60% (70 SO in 116 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .127 (20-for-157) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .188 (170 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OPS of just .456 (171 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 98th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Waldron has induced opposing hitters to ground into 5 double plays in 11 opportunities (46%) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (97/416) against Matt Waldron this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an OBP of just .148 (54 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Matt Waldron has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (73 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 90.2
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 242-46 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 273-157 (.635) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 53-25 (.679) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 1-112 (.009) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are just 0-46 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Padres are just 12-16 (.429) after a home loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Padres are 103-19 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (12,003 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (7,494 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .717 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 582 strikeouts in 2,917 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .264 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (3855.0 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.65 (1884.0 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (6,523 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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